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New Zealand Fed suspends interest rate cuts as expected, NZDUSD rises first and then falls

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A quiet path will always arouse a relaxed yearning in twists and turns; a huge wave, the thrilling sound can be even more stacked when the tide rises and falls; a story, only with regrets and sorrows can bring about a heart-wrenching desolation; a life, where the ups and downs show the stunning heroism.

Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Official Website]: The New Zealand Federal Reserve suspends interest rate cuts as expected, NZDUSD will rise first and then fall." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

XM: The New Zealand Fed suspends interest rate cuts as expected, NZDUSD rises first and then falls

XM Exchange www.xmhouses.comment: The New Zealand Fed announced the results of its July interest rate resolution and agreed to maintain the official cash rate at 3.25%. The statement mentioned: In mid-2025, the inflation rate may rise to the top of the target range of 1~3%, and recover to around 2% in early 2026. Global policy uncertainty may slow the pace of New Zealand's economic recovery, thereby easing inflationary pressures. It can be seen that the New Zealand Federal Reserve decided to suspend interest rate cuts mainly based on expectations of weak inflation in the future.

After the announcement of the suspension of interest rate cuts, NZDUSD fell first and then rose, showing overall volatility characteristics. From 10:00 to 10:15, 15 minutes after the news was announced, NZDUSD rose from 0.5997 to 0.6013, an increase of 16 basis points. In the next half hour, NZDUSD fell sharply, falling to a low of 0.5978 points, erasing all the gains in the first 15 minutes. Based on this judgment, the positive impact of the New Zealand dollar on the suspension of interest rate cuts will not last long.

From the second quarter of 2024 to the present, New Zealand's core CPI annual rate has been in the range of 2.7~2.8%, and its performance is stable. Before the second quarter of 2024, New Zealand's core CPI annual rate fell out of control, and in one year, the value dropped from 7.4% to 3.7%. Based on this slowdown, New Zealand is very likely to fall below the 2% healthy inflation standard in 2024. However, the New Zealand Fed has decisively cut interest rates. Since August 2024, the New Zealand Fed has cut interest rates six times, with a cumulative interest rate cut of 225 basis points, far exceeding the rate cuts of most European and American central banks, and finally stopped inflationDecline.

The Fed is expected to continue to suspend interest rate cuts until inflation expectations have changed significantly. Judging from the policy statement, the New Zealand Federal Reserve has strong confidence in the domestic economic recovery, but is more worried about the impact of international risks. US President Trump is accustomed to using tariffs to www.xmhouses.combat trade rival countries, and New Zealand is no exception, with a 10% tariff imposed by the United States. This could lead to the New Zealand economy, which relies on the import and export industry, at risk of recession. If the export industry suffers too much, the New Zealand Fed may restart interest rate cuts.

▲XM chart

From the trend structure perspective, at the daily level, NZDUSD is in a medium- and short-term upward trend, but the upward trend is weak. The latest band is a decline and there is no support structure yet. The latest market price is near the 0.618 quarter of the previous upward band, which may have a supporting effect. After the medium and short-term trend line is extended, it overlaps with today's K-line lowest point, which also means that this area may have a supporting effect. If the K-line pattern closes positive today, there is a very likely rise band in the future.

XM risk warning, disclaimer, special statement: The market is risky, and investment should be cautious. The above content only represents the analyst's personal views and does not constitute any operational suggestions. Please do not regard this report as the sole reference. At different times, analysts' views may change and updates will not be notified separately.

The above content is all about "[XM official website]: The New Zealand Federal Reserve suspends interest rate cuts as expected, NZDUSD rises first and then falls". It is carefully www.xmhouses.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Forex. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!

Due to the author's limited ability and time constraints, some content in the article still needs to be discussed and studied in depth. Therefore, in the future, the author will conduct extended research and discussion on the following issues:

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New Zealand Fed suspends interest rate cuts as expected, NZDUSD rises first and then falls

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Trusted by over 15 Million Traders

The Most Awarded Brokerfor a Reason

Easy Access to 1,400+ Global Assets

XM Forex Trading Platform

CATEGORIES

News

market news

New Zealand Fed suspends interest rate cuts as expected, NZDUSD rises first and then falls

Related News

The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason