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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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CFI.co于2022年颁赠
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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CFI.co于2021年颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠
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World Finance 2021颁发
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World Finance 2021颁发
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2013最佳创新外汇平台奖
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2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠
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认证最优金牌级别
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Finance Magnates 颁发
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荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards
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Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠
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2017年伦敦财富管理奖
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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2014年最佳外汇科技提供商
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World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发
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CATEGORIES
News
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market news
Palm oil has been negative for two consecutive weeks, and the market is waiting for new opportunities to break the situation.
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Platform]: Palm oil has been negative for two consecutive weeks, and the market is waiting for new opportunities to break the situation." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:
On Friday (October 24), the palm oil market of Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed down again. The main January contract closed at 4,420 ringgit/ton for the whole day, a single-day drop of 51 ringgit, or 1.14%. This week's cumulative decline expanded to 2.06%, recording a negative line for the second consecutive week. The current futures price continues to fluctuate within the range of 4,400-4,500 ringgit, and the market has fallen into a directional waiting pattern.
The balance of supply and demand is tilted towards the negative
Local traders in Kuala Lumpur pointed out that the market is looking for new driving factors and currently lacks clear direction guidance. Observing the performance of related markets, the main soybean oil contract on the Dalian www.xmhouses.commodity Exchange fell slightly by 0.15%. Although the palm oil contract rose slightly by 0.09%, the overall momentum was limited. Soybean oil prices on the Chicago Board of Trade fell 0.35%, indicating that the global vegetable oil market is under overall pressure.
In the crude oil market, prices stabilized on Friday despite supply concerns arising from new U.S. sanctions on Russia's two major oil www.xmhouses.companies, which pushed oil prices higher in the previous trading day. The trend of crude oil has a direct impact on the demand for palm oil biodiesel. When crude oil weakens, the economics of palm oil as a biodiesel feedstock will be significantly reduced.
Currency factors formed support
It is worth noting that the ringgit strengthened 0.14% against the US dollar that day, closing at 4.2240. Normally, the appreciation of the local currency would weaken the www.xmhouses.competitiveness of Malaysian palm oil exports, but this exchange rate change did not reverse the price decline, reflecting that the core contradiction of the market is still concentrated on fundamentals.
Institutional views focus on key factors
Well-known institutions quoted the Malaysia Investment Bank Analysis ReportThe report pointed out that the current market is facing multiple pressures: weak crude oil prices have weakened the attractiveness of biodiesel, high vegetable oil inventories in major consumer markets have suppressed import demand, and increased global soybean inventories have further squeezed the market share of palm oil. The agency emphasized that under the www.xmhouses.combined effect of these factors, market sentiment is likely to remain cautious.
Technical aspects and capital flow
From the perspective of position structure, the current price range has continued to fluctuate for nearly two weeks, with the 4,400 ringgit mark forming short-term support and 4,500 ringgit forming obvious resistance. The market needs to break out of this range to establish a new trend direction. Although the weekly level showed two consecutive negative trends, the monthly line still maintained a slight increase, indicating that the mid- to long-term trend has not yet www.xmhouses.completely turned negative.
Outlook
Analysts believe that the market is about to enter a traditional seasonal cycle. If production data falls in line with expectations in the www.xmhouses.coming weeks and exports remain stable, inventory pressure is expected to be alleviated. However, the uncertainty of the global macroeconomic environment is still the biggest variable, and investors need to pay close attention to the changes in procurement policies of major consuming countries and the dynamics of the crude oil market.
In the short term, the market will continue to seek balance within the 4,400-4,500 ringgit range, and any breakthrough will need to be driven by new fundamentals. The agency recommends focusing on the upcoming Malaysian Palm Oil Association (MPOA) production data and shipping survey agency export statistics, which may become a key catalyst to break the current deadlock.
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