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US CPI data hit a new high since January, US dollar fell
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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Forex Market Review]: US CPI data has recorded a new high since January, and the US dollar has fallen." Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On September 12, in the early trading of Asian market on Friday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered at 97.55. On Thursday, U.S. inflation data in August was slightly hot, and initial unemployment claims data were weaker than expected, strengthening expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut. The US dollar index fell in response and finally closed down 0.31% to 97.50. U.S. Treasury yields generally fell, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields closed at 4.0260%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yields sensitive to Fed policy interest rates closed at 3.5520%. As the weakness of U.S. employment data overwhelmed the market's concerns about stronger inflation data, spot gold narrowed its decline and remained near its historical highs, eventually closing down 0.21% to close at $3,633.46/ounce; spot silver rebounded a bigger rebound and finally closed up 0.93% to $41.50/ounce. International crude oil has fallen due to concerns about weak U.S. demand and widespread oversupply risks. WTI crude oil eventually fell 2.37% to $62.23 per barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 1.88% to $66.32 per barrel.
Analysis of major currencies
Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovered at US$97.55. Although the current inflation data is stabilizing, the surge in unemployment claims highlights the weak labor market, and traders' confidence in the Federal Reserve's rate cut by at least 25 basis points next week is growing. U.S. Treasury yields may gain some support near current levels, but unless labor market data stabilizes, the U.S. dollar index may test the support level of 97.109 again. Technically, the US dollar index fell 0.2% to 97.57 as the market pricing cut rate by 25 basis points is 94%.
Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends
1) Analysis of gold market trends
On Friday, gold hovered around 3638.88. Spot gold maintained an overnight fluctuation trend and is currently trading around $3,635.18 per ounce. Although spot gold prices fell slightly by 0.2% to $3,632.49 an ounce on Thursday, they were not far from the all-time high set on Tuesday. Gold prices hit a new record of $3,674.36 on Tuesday. Since the beginning of this year, gold prices have risen by 38%, not only due to geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures, but also deeply affected by U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations.
2) Analysis of crude oil market trends
On Friday, crude oil trading was around 61.78. Oil prices fell on Thursday, closing below more than 2% as concerns about a possible weaker U.S. demand and widespread supply glut offset the threat to output from the Middle East conflict and the Ukrainian war.
Forex market trading reminder on September 12, 2025
①14:00German August CPI monthly rate final value
②14:00UK July three-month GDP monthly rate
③14:00UK July manufacturing output monthly rate
④14:00UK July seasonally adjusted www.xmhouses.commodity trade account
⑤14:00UK July industrial output monthly rate
⑥14:45F August CPI monthly rate final Value
⑦22:00 The expected initial value of the US September one-year inflation rate
⑧22:00 The initial value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in September
⑨The next day 01:00 The total number of oil drilling rigs in the week from the United States to September 12
The above content is about "[XM Foreign Exchange Market Review]: The US CPI data recorded a new high since January, and the US dollar fell" was carefully www.xmhouses.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your trading! Thanks for the support!
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