Trusted by over 15 Million Traders
The Most Awarded Broker
for a Reason
CATEGORIES
News
- 【XM Decision Analysis】--BTC/USD Forex Signal: Bitcoin Breaks $107,000, How Much
- 【XM Market Review】--GBP/USD Analysis: Performance portends a strong move ahead
- 【XM Market Analysis】--BTC/USD Forex Signal: Eyes $106K Amid Recovery
- 【XM Market Review】--USD/ZAR Forecast: Rand Faces USD Pressure
- 【XM Market Review】--AUD/USD Forex Signal: Brace for Volatility Ahead of Australi
market analysis
CPI rose moderately in June, and the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this month is slim!
Wonderful introduction:
Life needs a smile. When you meet friends and relatives, you can give them a smile, which can inspire people's hearts and enhance friendships. When you receive help from strangers, you will feel www.xmhouses.comfortable with both parties; if you give yourself a smile, life will be better!
Hello everyone, today XM Foreign Exchange will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: CPI rose moderately in June, and the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this month is slim!". Hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:
On July 16, in the early trading of Asia on Wednesday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 98.55. On Tuesday, the dollar index continued to rise and finally closed up 0.54% to 98.596 after a moderate inflation report sparked speculation that the Fed might temporarily keep interest rates unchanged. U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields closed at 4.488%, 2-year U.S. Treasury yields closed at 3.959%, and 30-year Treasury yields rose to 5% for the first time since June. Spot gold gave up its intraday gains after the CPI data was released, breaking the $3320 mark at one point, and finally closed down 0.56%, closing at $3324.96/ounce, the second consecutive trading day lower; spot silver fell below the $38 mark and finally closed down 1.15% to $37.7/ounce. International oil prices continued to fall due to the threat of Trump's sanctions against Russia, accompanied by a 50-day buffer period, which was less than the previous concerns about the immediate supply interruption in the oil market. WTI crude oil fluctuated and fell, finally closing down 0.35% at $65.63 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 0.39% at $68.26 per barrel.
Analysis of major currencies
Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovers around 98.55. After the US dollar index stood firm at a key support level of 97.899 for the second consecutive trading day, it continued its upward trend and approached the 50-day moving average of 98.80. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year in June; core inflation was slightly lower than expected, recording 2.9%. Federal Funds Futures currently show that the market expects a 50 basis point rate cut by the end of the year, which may be a rate cut in SeptemberStart time. Technically, if the US dollar index closes above the 98.50 level, it will move towards resistance at 99.20–99.40. .
Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends
1) Analysis of gold market trends
In the Asian session on Wednesday, gold hovered around 3331.01. Trump said he would soon send tariff letters to small countries, with the tax rate slightly above 10%, providing safe-haven support for gold prices. For investors, the current gold market is both full of challenges and opportunities. In the short term, gold prices may continue to fluctuate in the range of $3,300 to $3,400, but in the long run, geopolitical risks, inflation expectations and loose monetary policy trends may provide upward action for gold prices. Investors are advised to keep a close eye on upcoming PPI data and the latest progress in the Trump administration’s tariff policy, while maintaining attention to the trends in the U.S. dollar and bond yields to seize investment opportunities in the gold market.
2) Analysis of crude oil market trends
On Wednesday, crude oil trading around 65.74. International oil prices fell slightly after US President Donald Trump set a 50-day deadline to demand that Russia end the Ukrainian war to avoid sanctions, eased market concerns about disruptions in crude oil supply.
Forex market trading reminder on July 16, 2025
14:00 UK June CPI monthly rate
14:00 UK June retail price index monthly rate
17:00 Eurozone May seasonally adjusted trade account
20:30 US June PPI annual rate
20:30 US June PPI monthly rate
21:15 US June industrial output monthly rate
21:15 US June Hamak delivered a speech
22:00 Fed Director Barr made a speech
22:3 0EIA crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to July 11
22:30EIA Cushing crude oil inventories in the week from the United States to July 11
22:30EIA strategic oil reserve inventories in the week from the United States to July 11
The next day, the Federal Reserve announced the Beige Book of Economic Conditions
The next day, the Federal Reserve Williams delivered a speech
The above content is about "[XM Foreign Exchange Decision Analysis]: The CPI rose moderately in June, and the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this month is slim!", which was carefully www.xmhouses.compiled and edited by the editor of XM Foreign Exchange. I hope it will be helpful to your transactions! Thanks for the support!
After doing something, there will always be experience and lessons. In order to facilitate future work, we must analyze, study, summarize and concentrate the experience and lessons of previous work, and raise it to the theoretical level to understand it.
Disclaimers: XM Group only provides execution services and access permissions for online trading platforms, and allows individuals to view and/or use the website or the content provided on the website, but has no intention of making any changes or extensions, nor will it change or extend its services and access permissions. All access and usage permissions will be subject to the following terms and conditions: (i) Terms and conditions; (ii) Risk warning; And (iii) a complete disclaimer. Please note that all information provided on the website is for general informational purposes only. In addition, the content of all XM online trading platforms does not constitute, and cannot be used for any unauthorized financial market trading invitations and/or invitations. Financial market transactions pose significant risks to your investment capital.
All materials published on online trading platforms are only intended for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered for financial, investment tax, or trading related consulting and advice, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related trading offers or invitations.
All content provided by XM and third-party suppliers on this website, including opinions, news, research, analysis, prices, other information, and third-party website links, remains unchanged and is provided as general market commentary rather than investment advice. All materials published on online trading platforms are only for educational/informational purposes and do not include or should be considered as applicable to financial, investment tax, or trading related advice and recommendations, or transaction price records, or any financial product or non invitation related financial offers or invitations. Please ensure that you have read and fully understood the information on XM's non independent investment research tips and risk warnings. For more details, please click here